MARKETS & FX
Dow Drops 600 Points Intraday as Fed Signals Hikes Rattle Markets

# Dow# Fed# rate hike# US stocks
Key Points
- The Dow fell more than 600 points intraday.
- It followed the Fed's rate outlook and the chair's press remarks, raising hike fears.
- US hike expectations lift the dollar, pressure the yen and move global stocks.
Analysis
The Dow dropped more than 600 points intraday after the Fed's rate outlook and the chair's press remarks raised fears of hikes this year; a hawkish signal from the world's biggest economy reprices risk instantly. The value here is the chain: Fed hike expectations lift the dollar and pressure US stocks, which weighs on the yen and tightens global markets. US policy is never someone else's problem, it flows through FX and capital into Japanese stocks, the yen and Taiwan investors' positions. The task now is to factor in that the US is also hiking; the Fed's language, dot plot and data will drive global risk assets in the weeks ahead.